The Arrival of Dalton Kincaid:
One of the most exciting additions to any offense this offseason was the Buffalo Bills’ selection of tight end Dalton Kincaid in the NFL Draft. With his pass-catching abilities, Kincaid adds another dimension to the explosive Buffalo air attack. The Bills plan to utilize more 12-personnel formations, which will enable them to maximize the talents of Kincaid and fellow tight end Dawson Knox. This strategy will prove valuable against the Jets’ aggressive pass rush, providing extra pass blockers and short passing options for quarterback Josh Allen.
Kincaid’s Impact:
During training camp, Kincaid impressed with his instant chemistry with Allen, and he showcased his skills in Buffalo’s exhibition game against Pittsburgh. Facing a Jets defense that struggled against rival tight ends last season, Kincaid has the potential to make a significant impact on the game. In the two clashes between the Bills and Jets last year, Allen targeted Knox extensively, highlighting the opportunity for Kincaid to shine in this matchup.
Predictive Models and Receiving Yards:
As a rookie, there is uncertainty surrounding Kincaid’s performance in his Monday Night Football debut. However, most projections indicate that he will surpass his receiving yards total of 26.5 yards. Our analysis suggests a target range of 32.5 yards for the first-year tight end. The opening line for Kincaid’s receiving total was as low as 25.5 yards but has fluctuated between 26.5 and 27.5 yards in recent days. Those looking to place a bet can find the total slightly lower and with more favorable odds.
Bills vs. Jets Spread:
The initial spread for this AFC East rivalry showed a pick’em, highlighting the belief that the Jets are now serious contenders with Rodgers on their side. However, due to significant one-sided betting against the Jets throughout the summer, the line has shifted to Buffalo -2.5 as of Sunday morning. The majority of bettors and the Covers Consensus are favoring the Bills, providing an interesting dynamic for this highly anticipated matchup.
Rodgers’ Impact and Offensive Support:
While there are questions about Rodgers’ performance in New York, his arrival has undoubtedly reinvigorated the Jets. With a talented group of skill players, including wide receiver Garrett Wilson, the offense has the potential to be successful. Additionally, the Jets’ solid defense, which performed well in 2022, adds another dimension to the team’s chances of victory.
Predcition: Jets +2.5
Main Markets:
New York Jets +2.5
Buffalo Bills -2.5
Total: 45.5 -110
Buffalo ML -140
New York ML +120
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