The Cincinnati Bengals have emerged as one of the most successful NFL betting teams over the past three seasons, boasting an impressive 36-19-1 against the spread (ATS) record. Despite facing the Super Bowl hangover in 2022, the Bengals continued their winning ways, finishing with a 13-6 ATS record. As we look ahead to the 2023 season, expectations are high for Cincinnati, with the team favored in 13 of their 17 regular-season games. With consistent coaching, a talented offense, and a favorable schedule, the Bengals have the potential to remain a dominant force in the sportsbook every Sunday. In this betting preview, we will explore the Bengals’ strengths, potential pitfalls, and key matchups for the upcoming season.
Winning Bets: Joe Burrow:
Underrated by many, Joe Burrow has emerged as a key player in the post-Brady quarterback renaissance. Alongside the likes of Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Justin Herbert, Burrow’s accomplishments often go unnoticed. However, for football bettors, Burrow is a reliable asset. His outstanding second-half performances and exceptional fourth-quarter fortitude make him a go-to choice for clutch moments. Last season, the Bengals ranked second in DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) in the final quarter, largely due to Burrow’s ability to lead the team to victory. With an improved offensive line, Burrow’s output is expected to soar, making him a valuable asset for betting purposes.
Losing Bets: Defense:
While the Bengals’ defense played a significant role in their success last season, there are concerns heading into the 2023 season. Defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo has done an admirable job with a middle-of-the-pack unit, but the team has lost some key pieces from last year’s squad. Cincinnati’s secondary will need to quickly fill the void left by two starting safeties, and the pass rush must step up to compensate for any weaknesses in the pass defense. With divisional rivals such as the Ravens, Texans, and Browns bolstering their offensive capabilities, Anarumo’s defensive schemes may face challenges. With a win total of 11.5 (Under -130), it is essential for the Bengals’ defense to remain resilient to meet expectations.
Key Matchups and Schedule Analysis:
The Bengals face a tough schedule, particularly within the competitive AFC North division. However, the calendar offers them a favorable path, avoiding significant situational challenges. Look-ahead spreads and season win totals suggest that Cincinnati will outperform division rivals like Baltimore. The Bengals have demonstrated their ability to hold their own against the AFC North, with a collective 7-5 straight-up (SU) count and an 8-4 ATS record in recent seasons. Despite the toughest Strength of Schedule (SOS) among divisional teams, Cincinnati’s consistency, coaching stability, and the offensive prowess of Joe Burrow provide them an edge. Notable matchups against the 49ers, Bills, and Chiefs will put their abilities to the test.
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